Ty Chandler Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Ty Chandler

NFL · Player Props

Ty Chandler

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Ty Chandler Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
The Denver Broncos linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.
With a remarkable 10.7% Route Participation Rate (21st percentile) this year, Ty Chandler rates among the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
Ty Chandler ranks as one of the weakest RB receiving threats this year, averaging a mere 0.8 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 16th percentile among RBs.

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