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Ty Chandler

Ty Chandler Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Ty Chandler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
  • The projections expect Ty Chandler to accrue 14.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The projections expect Ty Chandler to be much more involved in his offense's running game in this game (58.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Cincinnati's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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