Ty Chandler Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ty Chandler

NFL · Player Props

Ty Chandler

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Ty Chandler Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
The projections expect Ty Chandler to accrue 14.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The projections expect Ty Chandler to be much more involved in his offense's running game in this game (58.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Cincinnati's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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