Tutu Atwell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1233).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.
Favors Under
With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have been the most run-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 77.8% red zone run rate.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tutu Atwell has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.6% last year, which ranks in the 17th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.