Tutu Atwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 26, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Tutu Atwell to accrue 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
The leading projections forecast Tutu Atwell to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.6% in games he has played).
Tutu Atwell's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 51.1% to 74.8%.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Rams to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions this week.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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