Tutu Atwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
Tutu Atwell's receiving skills have improved this season, averaging 3.0 adjusted receptions vs a mere 1.5 last season.

Favors Under

While Tutu Atwell has earned 17.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's offense in this week's game at 12.5%.
This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a feeble 60.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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