Tutu Atwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:36 AM EST

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
Tutu Atwell's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this season, notching 3.2 adjusted receptions compared to just 1.5 last season.
Tutu Atwell's 60.5% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 51.1% figure.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 26.8 per game) this year.
While Tutu Atwell has garnered 17.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's pass game in this game at 12.5%.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has given up a puny 54.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the lowest rate in the league.

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