Tutu Atwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tutu Atwell

NFL · Player Props

Tutu Atwell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tutu Atwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Tutu Atwell's 3.3 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a significant growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 1.5 figure.
Tutu Atwell's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 51.1% to 58.5%.
This year, the feeble Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered a massive 70.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Arizona's CB corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
While Tutu Atwell has been responsible for 18.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's pass game in this game at 12.8%.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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