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Tutu Atwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a colossal 60.7 per game on average).This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Since the start of last season, the porous Cardinals pass defense has allowed a colossal 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Arizona's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.While Tutu Atwell has earned 11.7% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's offense in this week's contest at 4.4%.Tutu Atwell grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 57.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 19th percentile among wideoutsWith a weak 7.0 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) last year, Tutu Atwell ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league in the league.With a feeble 2.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (17th percentile) last year, Tutu Atwell stands among the top pass-catching WRs in football in the open field.
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