Tucker Kraft Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tucker Kraft

NFL · Player Props

Tucker Kraft

TE · Green Bay Packers

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Tucker Kraft Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-213).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.
With a high 26.2% Red Zone Target% (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft rates as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
In regards to air yards, Tucker Kraft grades out in the towering 83rd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a colossal 31.0 per game.
Tucker Kraft's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 91st percentile for tight ends.
With an excellent ratio of 0.60 per game through the air (99th percentile), Tucker Kraft rates among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 59.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
Tucker Kraft's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 80.4% to 44.7%.
Opposing squads have run for the 8th-most touchdowns in the league (1.11 per game) against the Jets defense since the start of last season.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

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