Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Tucker Kraft

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Tucker Kraft to accrue 6.6 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
Tucker Kraft has compiled a massive 30.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among TEs.
Tucker Kraft's 6.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents an impressive growth in his efficiency in space over last year's 0.0% figure.

Favors Under

The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (just 54.2 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Tucker Kraft's 31.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 36.8.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
Tucker Kraft has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (41.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).