Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Tucker Kraft

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-104/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Tucker Kraft to accumulate 6.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Tucker Kraft has put up a massive 29.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Tucker Kraft comes in as one of the leading pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 47.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Tucker Kraft rates as one of the leading tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a fantastic 1.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.2 plays per game.
Tucker Kraft's 29.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 36.8.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.