Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Tucker Kraft

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Tucker Kraft Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-106/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 60.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this week's game, Tucker Kraft is projected by the projection model to rank in the 93rd percentile among TEs with 6.4 targets.
With an impressive 19.1% Target Rate (93rd percentile) last year, Tucker Kraft rates among the tight ends with the highest volume in the league.
When it comes to air yards, Tucker Kraft ranks in the towering 78th percentile among TEs last year, accruing an impressive 25.0 per game.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 27.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense last year: fewest in the NFL.
With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Tucker Kraft has been among the best pass-game tight ends in football in space.
Last year, the fierce Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded a feeble 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 4th-best in football.