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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 62.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

With a remarkable ratio of 1.60 per game (79th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands among the top touchdown passers in football since the start of last season.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Buffalo's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the projections to call just 60.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Tua Tagovailoa's 65.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial regression in his throwing precision over last year's 69.6% figure.

The Bills defense has given up the 9th-fewest passing TDs in football: 1.12 per game this year.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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