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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.7% red zone pass rate.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

With an excellent rate of 1.63 per game (77th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season.

This year, the deficient Cardinals defense has yielded a colossal 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.

This year, the poor Cardinals defense has been torched for a monstrous 1.43 passing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 10th-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.5.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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