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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Miami Dolphins.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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