My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 69.6% to 72.9%.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™