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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

With a 42.1% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Miami Dolphins.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.

Tua Tagovailoa's 4.74 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a noteable gain in his rushing skills over last year's 3.35 rate.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (132 per game) versus the Jets defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.1.

Tua Tagovailoa has generated a mere 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (18th percentile).

Tua Tagovailoa comes in as one of the worst QBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.35 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 5th percentile.

The Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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