Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.8% run rate.
The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
Tua Tagovailoa's 5.42 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year indicates a remarkable growth in his rushing prowess over last year's 3.35 mark.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
This week, Tua Tagovailoa is anticipated by the projections to notch the 9th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.1.
With an awful rate of 0.38 yards-after-contact (8th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa ranks as one of the worst rushing QBs in football this year.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.54 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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