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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 251.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a whopping 62.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Tua Tagovailoa is positioned as one of the leading quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 273.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

This year, the weak Bills defense has yielded a staggering 239.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the projections to call just 60.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Tua Tagovailoa's 65.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial regression in his throwing precision over last year's 69.6% figure.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 6.64 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.56 rate last season.

This year, the formidable Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a puny 7.2 yards.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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