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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 237.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 251.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (a massive 63.0 per game on average).

With a stellar record of 274.0 adjusted passing yards per game (96th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa places as one of the top passers in the NFL since the start of last season.

This year, the deficient Cardinals defense has yielded a colossal 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.

The Cardinals pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.49 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the NFL.

The Cardinals cornerbacks project as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 126.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.5.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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