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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 250.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa comes in as one of the best QBs in football this year, averaging an impressive 274.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's throwing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 69.6% to 74.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's 7.52 adjusted yards-per-target this year signifies a noteable decline in his passing efficiency over last year's 8.6% figure.
  • This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a puny 196.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, yielding 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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