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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 250.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 245.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 250.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 69.6% to 72.9%.

The New England Patriots pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, yielding 8.30 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Tua Tagovailoa's 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a meaningful drop-off in his throwing talent over last season's 282.0 rate.

Tua Tagovailoa's 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target this year reflects a substantial decrease in his passing effectiveness over last year's 8.6% figure.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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