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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 249.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a staggering 60.1 per game on average).

With an outstanding 71.7% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa ranks among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Dolphins being an enormous 7-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.

Tua Tagovailoa's 227.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a noteworthy decrease in his throwing prowess over last year's 282.0 rate.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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