Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 3:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 275.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 37.9 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
Tua Tagovailoa has passed for many more yards per game (247.0) this season than he did last season (204.0).
Tua Tagovailoa has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a stellar 68.2% Completion%, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Miami Dolphins have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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