Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Pass Attempts

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projection model to total the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.2.

Favors Under

Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

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