Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Interceptions

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 62.3% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among QBs.

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the 49ers, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's group of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.