Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Interceptions

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has attempted 35.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among QBs.
New York's defense grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year as it relates to causing interceptions, compiling a mere 0.14 per game.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Dolphins being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
The Dolphins rank as the 9th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
The New York cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best CB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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