Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Interceptions

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.
The Denver Broncos have intercepted 0.86 targets per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 9th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.

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