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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-132).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tua Tagovailoa has thrown 0.89 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 21st percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • The Tennessee Titans have intercepted 0.25 targets per game this year, ranking as the worst defense in the NFL by this metric
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tennessee's unit has been very bad this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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