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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 39.2 passes this week, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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