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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Dolphins as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Dolphins have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The model projects Tua Tagovailoa to throw 37.9 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Tua Tagovailoa's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 69.6% to 74.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL vs. the Houston Texans defense this year (62.3% Adjusted Completion%).

The Houston cornerbacks project as the 8th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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