Tua Tagovailoa Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Completions

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
Tua Tagovailoa's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.0% to 70.1%.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Raiders defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).
The Raiders safeties project as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).

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