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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Miami Dolphins since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).
  • Miami's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially decreased (and running stats too high) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some regression with better weather this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.

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