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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • The 49ers safeties profile as the 24th-worst group of safeties in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 4th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 122.2 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • This week, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the projection model to total the fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 1.7.
  • Comprising a lowly 4.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (19th percentile among quarterbacks), Tua Tagovailoa's lack of speed makes him no threat with his legs.

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