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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are predicted by the model to run just 62.8 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.

Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially deflated (and running stats propped up a bit) due to playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with better conditions in this week's game.

The predictive model expects Tua Tagovailoa to accumulate 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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