Treylon Burks Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Washington Commanders

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 2:47 PM EST

Analysis

Treylon Burks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+849/-1075).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog this week.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Philadelphia's group of CBs has been dreadful last year, projecting as the 7th-worst in football.

Favors Under

The model projects the Washington Commanders as the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 10th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.44 seconds per snap.
Last year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a meager 64.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the lowest rate in the NFL.
The Eagles defense has given up the fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.35 per game last year.

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