Treylon Burks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup quarterback Marcus Mariota in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Commanders are a 5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
At the present time, the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Commanders.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
Treylon Burks's 21.5% snap rate this season shows a remarkable decrease in his offensive usage over last season's 56.5% mark.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (58.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
Treylon Burks ranks as one of the weakest pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a measly 1.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 17th percentile among wideouts.
With a lackluster 52.4% Adjusted Catch% (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Treylon Burks rates among the least sure-handed receivers in football among wide receivers.

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