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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Treylon Burks's 47.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 76th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
  • The Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Treylon Burks's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 63.7% to 47.8%.

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