Treylon Burks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Treylon Burks's 47.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 76th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
The Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
Treylon Burks's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 63.7% to 47.8%.

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