Treylon Burks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Treylon Burks

NFL · Player Props

Treylon Burks

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Treylon Burks to total 6.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among WRs.
Treylon Burks has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 18.7% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (59%) versus wide receivers this year (59.0%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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