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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are giant -13.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year.

The 49ers defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (175.0) to wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to run just 60.0 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Trey Palmer grades out as one of the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 55.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among wide receivers

With a weak 6.6 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) this year, Trey Palmer rates among the bottom wide receivers in the game in football.

Trey Palmer checks in as one of the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.

More Trey Palmer Player Props

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