Trey McBride Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-163).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Favors Under
To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.92 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 7th-most sluggish in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.
After accumulating 67.0 air yards per game last year, Trey McBride has regressed heavily this year, currently sitting at 55.0 per game.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in football versus the Denver Broncos defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-most TDs in the league (1.00 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.