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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Trey McBride to garner 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Trey McBride's 25.9% Target Share this year indicates a meaningful boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 20.0% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (only 54.0 per game on average).
  • Trey McBride's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 76.3% to 68.7%.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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