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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The model projects Trey McBride to accrue 7.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among TEs.

Trey McBride has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 20.6% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 95th percentile among TEs.

With an outstanding 4.7 adjusted catches per game (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride ranks among the best pass-game TEs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

Trey McBride's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 76.3% to 69.5%.

More Trey McBride Player Props

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