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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4-point underdogs.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Trey McBride to total 8.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs.

Trey McBride has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Trey McBride has been one of the best TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Trey McBride's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 76.3% to 55.2%.

Since the start of last season, the tough Lions defense has given up a mere 65.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Detroit's collection of safeties has been fantastic since the start of last season, grading out as the 8th-best in football.

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