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Trey McBride
NFL · Player Props
Trey McBride
TE · Arizona Cardinals
Receptions
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 26, 2023 9:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Trey McBride Receptions

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Favors Over
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The projections expect Trey McBride to notch 8.1 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • While Trey McBride has earned 16.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Arizona's passing offense in this week's game at 24.5%.
  • Trey McBride checks in as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an impressive 3.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
  • The Rams linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
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