Trey McBride Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Trey McBride

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to earn 3.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (68.3%) versus TEs this year (68.3%).
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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