Trey McBride Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Trey McBride

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 5:37 PM EST

Analysis

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 82.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 82.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
With an extraordinary 92.2% Route Participation% (100th percentile) this year, Trey McBride ranks as one of the TEs with the highest volume in the league.
The predictive model expects Trey McBride to earn 9.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
Trey McBride has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Trey McBride's 75.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 79.2% figure.
Trey McBride's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.62 rate last year.

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