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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Trey McBride to garner 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Trey McBride's 25.9% Target Share this year indicates a meaningful boost in his pass attack utilization over last year's 20.0% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (only 54.0 per game on average).
  • Trey McBride's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 76.3% to 68.7%.
  • Trey McBride's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a mere 5.96 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.66 figure last season.
  • Trey McBride's 3.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a noteable regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.1% mark.

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