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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Trey McBride to total 8.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
  • Trey McBride has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.9% since the start of last season, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Trey McBride grades out in the towering 91st percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an impressive 39.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in football (58.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Trey McBride's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 76.3% to 55.2%.
  • Trey McBride's 3.5 adjusted yards per target this year marks a substantial drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.7 mark.
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Lions defense has given up a mere 65.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the lowest rate in the NFL.

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