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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Trey McBride has been among the best TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 28.0 yards per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
  • Trey McBride has been among the weakest tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 2nd percentile.

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